Modelling and simulation for one-day cricket
نویسندگان
چکیده
This article is concerned with the simulation of one-day cricket matches. Given that only a finite number of outcomes can occur on each ball that is bowled, a discrete generator on a finite set is developed where the outcome probabilities are estimated from historical data involving one-day international cricket matches. The probabilities depend on the batsman, the bowler, the number of wickets lost, the number of balls bowled and the innings. The proposed simulator appears to do a reasonable job at producing realistic results. The simulator allows investigators to address complex questions involving one-day cricket matches. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 37: 143–160; 2009 © 2009 Statistical Society of Canada Résumé: Cet article porte sur la simulation de matchs de cricket d’une seule journée. Étant donné qu’il y a un nombre fini d’événements possibles à chaque lancer de balle, un générateur discret. Sur un ensemble fini est développé où les probabilités de chacun des événements sont estimées à partir de données historiques provenant de matchs de cricket international d’une seule journée. Les probabilités dépendent du batteur, du lanceur, du nombre de guichets perdus, du nombre de balles lancées et des manches. Le simulateur proposé semble faire un travail raisonnable en produisant des résultats réalistes. Il permet aux chercheurs d’étudier des questions complexes concernant les matchs de cricket d’une seule journée. La revue canadienne de statistique 37: 143–160; 2009 © 2009 Société statistique du Canada
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تاریخ انتشار 2009